No you can't. Circuit City doesn't have any sort of game plan at the moment, and it's sinking fast. The company's stock is priced at $2.31 as I write this. The goofy Blockbuster Inc. (NYSE: BBI) transaction is gone (for now, at least...there are reports saying that it could be resurrected at a later date, although I don't buy that it will happen at all). It isn't competing effectively against Best Buy Co., Inc. (NYSE: BBY) and Wal-Mart Stores, Inc. (NYSE: WMT). In short, Circuit City is a Titanic-like electronics retailer that doesn't know how to keep its ship from hitting icebergs.
So this resignation isn't surprising. Of course, is there any way to make money off the stock? I do believe there is downside to come on the share price, which would therefore imply that shorting it could work out. Alas, I wouldn't recommend it. You just know that some company and/or financial entity out there might come in at any point and make a bid, and the shares could skyrocket. Although the Blockbuster deal didn't make sense, it doesn't mean that there isn't some transaction scheme out there that would be logical. Circuit City is a stock merely to watch out of curiosity, it's not one to do anything about.
Disclosure: I don't own any company mentioned here; positions can change at any time.
Citing unnamed sources, The New York Postreports that Blockbuster (NYSE: BBI) could come back to Circuit City (NYSE: CC) to try to acquire the company.
The sources said that Circuit City pulled out because of weakness in the credit markets, but still feel that a deal could have strong long-term benefits. I don't think it makes sense for Blockbuster to acquire the company but, if it does, pulling out for now is probably a good idea. Shares of Circuit City tanked when Blockbuster announced that it was no longer pursuing a deal, and, according to the Post,Best Buy (NYSE: BBY) isn't interested because of antitrust concerns. With few indications that there is anyone else bidding for Circuit City, and the company's fundamentals in a rapid state of decline, it seems like the longer Blockbuster waits the less it will have to pay. Unless another bidder emerges, there's no real rush.
Back in April, Blockbuster made a preliminary proposal to acquire Circuit City "with an all cash offer in the range of $6.00 to $8.00 per share, subject to due diligence." With shares of Circuit City down 9% to $2.32 on Wednesday, Blockbuster could probably get the company for considerably less if it made another offer today.
With Circuit City bleeding cash, continued consumer weakness could make it really cheap on the courthouse steps later this year. Maybe then Blockbuster shareholders would be more supportive of a deal.
One of the silliest possible mergers in recent memory (no small accomplishment) is dead in the water now that Blockbuster (NYSE: BBI) has announced that it will no longer pursue its previously announced effort to acquire Circuit City (NYSE: CC).
In a press release issued yesterday afternoon, Jim Keyes, Blockbuster Chairman and CEO, said that "Based on market conditions and the completion of our initial due diligence process, we have determined that it is not in the best interest of Blockbuster's shareholders to proceed with an acquisition of Circuit City."
Given the shares of Blockbuster tanked when the company announced its initial offer, the company's shares could be expected to trade up today.
For Circuit City, the situation is more grim. With its stock in the toilet, Blockbuster's offer represented one of the few exit strategies. Blockbuster's assertion that its "initial due diligence" was a factor in its decision to withdraw its offer indicates that the company's financial situation may be worse than it appears to outside shareholders.
In a press release offered in response, Philip J. Schoonover , chairman, president and chief executive officer of Circuit City, said that "Our exploration of strategic alternatives is intended to serve the interests of our shareholders by considering every possible alternative to enhance shareholder value. The board's review was not dependent on Blockbuster's participation."
But Blockbuster was the only suitor to emerge publicly so far and, now that it's lost interest, there's little reason to expect anyone else to emerge.
Brand-Name Stocks Uner $10: Buyer Beware These well-known names in the bargain bin may look appealing, but experts advise laying off until their earnings picture is clear. Among the stocks to be weary of are Sprint Nextel, Motorola, Ford Motor, Qwest, Washington Mutual, Northwest Airlines, Del Monte, Rite Aid, Chico's, Crocs, United Airlines, Palm, Sealy, Blockbuster, Circuit City and Orbitz. Brand-Name Stocks Under $10: Buyer Beware
Ever since Circuit City Stores (NYSE: CC) CEO Philip J. Schoonover sliced 3,400 sales people in March 2007 to save money, I have questioned the savvy of its management. That's because many of those fired sales people took their customers over to Best Buy (NYSE: BBY). As its stock lost 86% of its value, I was surprised that anyone would make a bid for it.
Yet Blockbuster (NYSE: BBI), the struggling video store chain, decided to buy. I don't know what got into Blockbuster's head to make it think that combining two struggling companies would make an agile competitor. The Richmond Times reports that it wanted to create a one-stop shop for movies, games, and electronic equipment. But that dream died when Blockbuster pulled its $1.3 billion offer after reviewing Circuit City's books.
Carl Icahn has said he would buy Circuit City. But it's losing money -- $164.8 million, or $1 a share, in its fiscal first quarter. This was $100 million more than its Q1 2007 loss. And Blockbuster's conclusion after a closer look at its financial statements does not bode well for Circuit City's future. Circuit City stock is down 7.8% in pre-market. Let's see whether any new bidders emerge.
U.S. stock futures were higher Wednesday morning, as Wall Street could try to having yet another positive session. While Starbucks news of store closing and reports Microsoft may still be interested in Yahoo helped lift sentiment, UnitedHealth already issued a warning this morning. Employment data is also on tap before the market opens.
U.S. stocks finally ended higher on Tuesday. Surprisingly, it was car sales that helped the mood on the Street as as June sales came in not as bad as expected. The Dow industrials ended 32 points higher, or 0.28%, the S&P 500 added 4 points, or 0.38%, and the Nasdaq Composite added 11 points, or 0.52%.
Today, investors will have the ADP June private sector employment figures to chew on ahead of the government's report tomorrow. The employment report is expected to be released at 8:15 a.m. EDT. Then, at 10 a.m., May factory orders are due out.
Also on the docket today is weekly crude inventories, usually released at 10:30 a.m. EDT. While oil came off highs Tuesday due to a slightly stronger dollar, it again rose above $141 a barrel Wednesday, due to persistent supply concerns that has analysts warning of higher prices yet. An IEA report saying supplies will remain tight and demand will likely grow despite higher prices helped push prices higher.
Though the earnings season is winding down, consumer electronics retailers Best Buy Inc. (NYSE: BBY) and Circuit City Stores Inc. (NYSE: CC) are scheduled to report second-quarter results this week. Best Buy profits are expected to be lower, while Circuit City is expected to triple its loss.
Best Buy is expected by analysts surveyed by Thomson Financial to report second-quarter earnings of 36 cents per share, down 7.7% from the same period of last year. The company has provided positive surprises in three of the past four quarters -- by 29.2% in the fourth quarter of 2007.
Based in Richfield, Minn., Best Buy is the largest consumer electronics outlet in the U.S., with about 1,300 stores in the U.S. and Canada providing appliances, gadgets, movies and music, cell phones, and technical services. In the past year, the company's revenues were $40 billion and its net income totaled $1.4 billion. Its long-term EPS growth forecast is 15.3%, which is a little better than the retail industry average. The consensus recommendation of analysts shifted from buy to to hold Best Buy during this past quarter.
The stock is down 13.2% since the beginning of the year, but down only 4.7% from a year ago. It trades at a P/E ratio of 14.65. Shares closed Friday at $45.70.
It would appear that Carl Icahn's attempt to take over Yahoo! (NASDAQ: YHOO) has a few less fans. Short sellers increased their interest in the company by 19.4 million shares to 66.6 million between May 15 and May 30.
The gamble is almost certainly based on the emerging sentiment that Icahn has made an awful decision. He will either lose his proxy fight to take control of the company, or win it and find that Microsoft (NASDAQ: MSFT) no longer wants to buy the company. Traders in general seem to like that theory. Yahoo! shares have moved from just shy of $27 five days ago to as low as $26.26 yesterday.
Icahn's biggest weakness may be that he has to be right. It has cost him a bundle in Motorola (NYSE: MOT) and Blockbuster (NYSE: BBI). Now, there is no indication that Microsoft will pay any premium at all for Yahoo!. Redmond may have no interest in any deal any more.
Some group of traders is guessing Yahoo! will trade much lower.
Yahoo! Inc. (NASDAQ: YHOO) Chief Executive Jerry Yang is bound to cry "uncle" sooner rather than later.
Pressure is mounting on the co-founder of the internet portal to do something -- anything -- to boost Yahoo's moribund share price. Billionaire activist investor Carl Icahn is leading a mutiny among shareholders disappointed that the company couldn't figure out a way to reach an agreement on a deal with Microsoft Corp. (NASDAQ: MSFT). Display advertising is coming under pressure as advertisers shift spending to search or demand steep rate cuts. Board member Edward Kozel today announced his resignation, another indication of management's growing isolation.
Yahoo management is clearly hunkering down. Today, comes word that the company is delaying its annual meeting from July 3 to the end of July. Is that enough time to reach an agreement with Microsoft or a search deal with Google Inc. (NASDAQ: GOOG)? Who knows? But you can bet that the meeting will not occur until there is some "good news" to report.
Meanwhile, Microsoft Chief Executive Steve Ballmer told a technology conference in Moscow that the Yahoo acquisition was not "strategic." Hmm, then why bother doing it? Clearly, Ballmer is posturing to get a better deal with Yahoo. Having Icahn on his side certainly helps.
As for Icahn's threatened proxy fight, the key word here is "threat." The last thing that Icahn wants to do is actually run a company. Operations just aren't his thing. But as he showed with Blockbuster Inc. (NYSE: BBI), Icahn is not afraid to wage proxy contests and win them. In Blockbuster's case, he trounced management. Whether that's a Pyrrhic victory remains to be seen. Shares of Blockbuster have tumbled more than 22% this year and investors are skeptical that buying Circuit City Stores Inc. (NASDAQ: CC) will boost the video-rental firm's lagging fortunes.
So,Yahoo shareholders should hope that Yahoo figures out a way to make Icahn and his allies happy before things get much worse.
Blockbuster (NYSE: BBI) announced first-quarter earnings on Thursday, and while it beat the market's expectations, I can't say I'm terribly excited. Revenues decreased a little over 5% to $1.4 billion. Net income from continuing operations came in at $0.21 per diluted share. Briefing.com says that this performance was $0.06 better than Wall Street's average call. Revenues, however, missed expectations.
Why am I not excited about the performance here? I mean, not only did the bottom line trounce the wizards of Wall Street, but domestic comps increased 2.9%. Well, for one thing, the cash flow was nonexistent. Both operational and free cash-flow were negative; granted, the company used a lot less cash this time for operations, and the deficit in terms of free cash was much better, but still, I don't see any positive green.
Plus, there's just the general idea of Blockbuster itself. My feelings haven't changed since I last wrote about the movie-rental business and its earnings. I still believe that Netflix (NASDAQ: NFLX) and video-on-demand limit the upside potential of the company's long-term prospects (perhaps I shouldn't just say limit; maybe threaten is better terminology, who knows).
U.S. stock futures were marginally higher early Thursday morning as once again investors await data on the economy to give them direction. Several deals and earnings are also in the spot light this morning.
U.S. stocks received a boost Wednesday from lower-than expected inflation numbers, given extra credence by the fall in crude-oil prices. While most companies reporting earnings Wednesday didn't proved good news, a smaller-than-forecast loss for Freddie Mac helped lift sentiment. The Dow industrials rose 66 points, or 0.52%, the S&P 500 rose 6 points, or 0.40%, and the Nasdaq Composite edged up more than a point, or 0.06%.
This morning, more inflation data is due out. Consumer level inflation reported Wednesday managed to surprise the Street, but can the economic releases today do the same? At 8:30 a.m., weekly initial jobless claims will be released, as well as May NY Empire State Index. At 9:00 a.m., March Net Foreign Purchases will be reported to be followed some time later with April capacity utilization and industrial production. At 10:00 a.m., after the market opens, the Philadelphia Fed index is due and is expected to show another decline. Finally, a housing index is also due today.
The earnings party of last week was full of fun and frolic. For the most part, if you followed my list of recommendations, you would have had your very own "Fiesta de Finance." (See Week in Preview – May 5)
The earnings season is still in full swing and should provide a great deal of action for the companies that will be reporting. But these companies will have to fight through a few new economic barriers. With oil pushing past historic levels and questions beginning to surface concerning the ability of the investor to continue to support a market that has so many headwinds, the mood is likely to shift moving forward. It is time for discipline, short and simple. Now, more than ever investors need a plan. I cover this strategy in my book, The Disciplined Investor.
In the last installment of The Week in Preview, I was looking for party opportunities in honor of Cinco de Mayo. This week, Misery is the theme. That is the only word that comes to mind with oil at a level that you would have never expected, a massive and unrelenting credit and housing crisis and a banking system that is defunct.
Monday - May 12
We start the week with a report from IndyMac Bancorp (NYSE: IMB). This bank is smack in the middle of the housing problem. It is primarily a lending company that facilitates loans for single-family homes. It's also involved in the origination and trading of mortgages. How does that sound to you as an investment? Shares have slid from $23 in October 2007 to an unbelievable level of $3.50 recently. Ouch... If you are a shareholder still holding on with hope and a prayer for something...anything, keep on dreaming. The good news is that the stock is sporting a yield of 29%. But, if you think that yield is going to be maintained, I have a bridge for sale. Estimates are for a loss of $1.92 per share for the quarter.
For the past year, Circuit City (NYSE: CC) has done a nice job short-circuiting its shareholders. But lately, there has been hope.
In fact, today the company essentially said it's "in play" for a sale. That is, it will allow Blockbuster (NYSE: BBI) – which has expressed buyout interest – to check out the books.
Although, it helped that billionaire activist investor, Carl Icahn, has been pushing for a deal. In a letter to Circuit City, he said he'll write a check to buy the company if Blockbuster can't come up with sufficient financing.
Yet, the question lingers: does a combination makes sense? After all, both Circuit City and Blockbuster are ailing. So why would a merger of two duds turn into a great entity? I seriously doubt it's something that frightens the folks at Best Buy (NYSE: BBY).
Then again, Circuit City may really be allowing itself to be sold to another player. For example, the company put an end to its proxy fight with Wattles Capital Management, which got three board seat. Oh, and Circuit City has retained Goldman Sachs (NYSE: GS) to explore strategic alternatives.
Thus, for the most part, Icahn is playing his typical role as the instigator. Keep in mind that he can be pretty tough to negotiate with – especially when you're selling your company to him.
And, so far in today's trading, Circuit City's shares are up 8%.